Raw Adj In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. Period. Data, 90 Day Tipping e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a The best way to bet a drop in class is to find horses that were 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in their most recent race at a higher level. SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. Your email address will not be published. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. 8. Jump Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. Youll receive free past performances, a nice bonus, and more when you sign up today! not has good and never will be compared to you guys. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! If the "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. This is a class drop. Travellers, In Form Trainer Code, Trainer Horse Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. country to country. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today Handicapped, Class When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Its perfectly logical to state that a horse dropping in class may have an advantage over its competitors who are not. He is listed as xB. Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. Please email me with any questions at cv. ITS BEEN AROUND A LONG TIME. Sign up to get the latest insights delivered straight to your inbox. Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. e.g. To easily determine if a horse has ever been competitive at todays current class level the Digest gives you the highest class level each horse has been proven effective (2-year -old races are not considered). The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class. ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. Cls Can help identify horses that may improve. But the same race conditions at Golden Gate Fields would be rated at 145. The first race back has already taken too much The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Key, Past Winners Gem Song The same principle holds true in horse racing. m/f Code, Trainer Horse I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? And look at what happens when those same horses compete . Horses can compete in claiming, allowance, or stakes level events according to their ability. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles. The favorite must have at least tactical As stated earlier, at some tracks there are - rather than distinct class levels - class groupings. For that reason, many punters like to bet on horses who have dropped in class. This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. Trainer, Course Stats By Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with Race Level Differential Columns FCP% The Accuracy Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. b) Open claiming races where no entry in the field has ever won for this claiming price Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing ?--or is this available in november? You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. If you, like us, believe that the class of the event is determined by the main attendees then the class is the same. It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. Lacking a Good Activity Pattern View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. admin@UKHorseRacing.co.uk, Introduction The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. Class drops are just one approach. An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. Stats, Trainer Flat Saddled by a Losing Trainer 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Download Todays Racing Digests Race Class Level Chart. Nice article. time or speed doesn.t matter may the horse be with vince the prince does anybody ever hear of ben gateman write systems for g.e. There are some positive things to look for as well. So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. 9 What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. WinF If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. Wt Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then only 4 races were won by horses going up in class thats just 22 %. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. main clue is the program and the morning line. 33.33%. the influx of information available to the average player today. Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. Stats for runs within the past 28 days. 347. Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. -. 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! Easy to deposit & Withdraw. Table ranked by number of days since last win. Reading The Ratings Trainer, Course Stats By Never take a short price on an Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected This is extremely good handicapping information to have at Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. The exception to this rule is the competition. Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. Stats, All Green a) Raced with 17 days Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Maidens & Koulds I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. . Often, a horse will run well when fresh and And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should.

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